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Jul 10, 2025

Mary Ann Bartels Mid-Year Outlook 2025

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What’s  New Is Old But New Record Highs Never Get Old 

 A Brief Review Of 2025: A Year Of War, Tariffs, Lower  Inflation & Interest Rates

 

Buoyed by  equity markets hitting record highs, we entered 2025 with strong optimism –  but this outlook was quickly upended by the unexpected tariffs from the Trump  Administration followed by a sudden escalation of war in the Middle East,  which drew in the United States. The tariff battle led to a bear market  sell-off of 20%, and the bombing of Iran by Israel, and the U.S. saw oil  prices rise sharply. But stocks quickly recovered, and oil fell just as  sharply within days. It felt like we were in a warp drive of events. We also  had a significant drop in inflation with interest rates trending down. So, as  we enter the second half of 2025, equity markets are at new highs, interest  rates continue to fall, the Middle East war has possibly turned to peace, and  tariffs still need negotiations.

 

Please  read on.

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