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May 23, 2025

Turning Turbulence into Opportunity: How Seasoned Investors Are Playing 2025’s Tariff Shock

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Authored By:
Authored By:

Matt Magee

Director of Financial Planning and Senior Wealth Advisor
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Every headline seems louder than the last, but the smartest corporate leaders, retirees, and business owners are using this drawdown to add long-term value, not subtract it.

1. Volatility Comes with the Territory

Market pullbacks aren’t bugs; they are features. Since 1980 the S&P 500 has averaged a 14% intra year drop yet finished higher in 32 of 44 calendar years. Kneejerk exits during those tumbles are what turn temporary declines into permanent losses.

2. Keep a Decades-Long Lens

Since 1950, every time the S&P 500 has dropped 10% or more in a calendar year, the next three years have produced gains 9 times out of 10; with an average total return of about +32%. Step off the ride and the cost is steep: miss just the five strongest rebound days and a decade-long return shrinks by more than one third.  

3. Put Cash and Tax Tools to Work

  • Liquidity buffer: Hold 6 to 12 months of spending needs in short duration treasuries or money market funds so you never sell growth assets at a discount.
  • Disciplined De-risking: Layer back into equities or risk assets via dollar cost averaging. History shows you catch ~70% of a rebound this way without heroic market timing.
  • Tax alpha: Harvest losses, capture deductions, then pivot proceeds into similar-but not substantially identical ETFs. Pair with Roth conversions while account values are marked down.

4. Mute the Noise, Mind the Signal

Financial infotainment monetizes your cortisol, not your returns. During times of peak uncertainty like we have faced this year, tune out the noise as best you can. This often means not checking your phone or TV as often.

5. Lead with Conviction, Not Reaction

Yes, policy tweets can smack prices overnight. But capital markets have rewarded patient ownership of productive assets for more than a century.  

Bottom line: Volatility is the admission price to sustained wealth. Pay it willingly, stay liquid, and keep your strategic compass pointed decades, not days ahead. Historically when the storm passes, it’s the disciplined investor who owns more of tomorrow’s upside.

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